Ensemble Products  Convection Severe Weather
latest run in current ensemble set:
18 UTC 15 August 2022


All Times 
Week 3 
Week 4 
Week 5 
Week 6 
Weeks 34 
Weeks 56 
Weeks 36 
All Fields 








Probability of CAPE > 1500 








Probability of Convective Precip & CAPE > 1500 








Probability of CAPE > 2500 








Probability of CAPE > 500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Probability of CAPE > 1500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Probability of CAPE > 500 & 03 km SRH > 300 








Probability of CAPE > 1500 & 03 km SRH > 300 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, & 03 km SRH > 300 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, & 03 km SRH > 300 








Probability of CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Probability of CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Probability of CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 300, & 01 km SRH > 175 








Probability of CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 300, & 01 km SRH > 175 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 300, & 01 km SRH > 175 








Probability of Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 300, & 01 km SRH > 175 








Maximum # of Days w/CAPE > 1500 








Maximum # of Days w/Convective Precip & CAPE > 1500 








Maximum # of Days w/CAPE > 2500 








Maximum # of Days w/CAPE > 500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Maximum # of Days w/CAPE > 1500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Maximum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Maximum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Maximum # of Days w/CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Maximum # of Days w/CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Maximum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Maximum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Minimum # of Days w/CAPE > 1500 








Minimum # of Days w/Convective Precip & CAPE > 1500 








Minimum # of Days w/CAPE > 2500 








Minimum # of Days w/CAPE > 500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Minimum # of Days w/CAPE > 1500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Minimum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Minimum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Minimum # of Days w/CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Minimum # of Days w/CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Minimum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Minimum # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Mean # of Days w/CAPE > 1500 








Mean # of Days w/Convective Precip & CAPE > 1500 








Mean # of Days w/CAPE > 2500 








Mean # of Days w/CAPE > 500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Mean # of Days w/CAPE > 1500 & 03 km SRH > 150 








Mean # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Mean # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, & 03 km SRH > 150 








Mean # of Days w/CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Mean # of Days w/CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Mean # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 








Mean # of Days w/Convective Precip, CAPE > 1500, 03 km SRH > 150, & 01 km SRH > 125 







