Climate Forecast System (CFSv2) Ensemble Products - 2 m Temperature
The output on this site is based on a 20-member ensemble generated from the four daily CFS control runs (00, 06, 12, & 18 UTC) over the past five days. Output is updated as each cycle is processed, and is typically available approximately 15 hours after cycle time (e.g. output which includes the latest 00 UTC run is available around 15 UTC).

Details on the CFS can be found at http://cfs.ncep.noaa.gov.


Ensemble Products - 2 m Temperature
latest run in current ensemble set: 06 UTC 15 December 2017
  All Times Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Weeks 3-4 Weeks 5-6 Weeks 3-6
All Fields  
Highest Maximum Temperature
Lowest Maximum Temperature
Maximum Temperature Spread
Lowest Minimum Temperature
Highest Minimum Temperature
Minimum Temperature Spread
Highest Average Daily Maximum Temperature
Lowest Average Daily Maximum Temperature
Mean Average Daily Maximum Temperature
Lowest Average Daily Minimum Temperature
Highest Average Daily Minimum Temperature
Mean Average Daily Minimum Temperature
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > -10° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 0° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 15° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 32 ° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 50 ° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 60° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 70° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 80° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 90° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 100° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature > 110° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < -10° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 0° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 15° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 32 ° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 50 ° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 60° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 70° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 80° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 90° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 100° F
Probability of Daily Maximum Temperature < 110° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < -40° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < -30° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < -20° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < -10° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < 0° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < 15° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < 32 ° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < 50 ° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < 60° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < 70° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature < 80° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > -10° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > -10° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > -10° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > -10° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > 0° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > 15° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > 32 ° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > 50 ° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > 60° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > 70° F
Probability of Daily Minimum Temperature > 80° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > -10° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 0° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 15° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 32 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 50 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 60° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 70° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 80° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 90° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 100° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 110° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < -10° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 0° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 15° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 32 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 50 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 60° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 70° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 80° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 90° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 100° F
Maximum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 110° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > -10° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 0° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 15° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 32 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 50 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 60° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 70° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 80° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 90° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 100° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 110° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < -10° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 0° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 15° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 32 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 50 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 60° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 70° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 80° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 90° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 100° F
Minimum # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 110° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > -10° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 0° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 15° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 32 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 50 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 60° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 70° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 80° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 90° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 100° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature > 110° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < -10° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 0° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 15° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 32 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 50 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 60° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 70° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 80° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 90° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 100° F
Mean # of Days w/Maximum Temperature < 110° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -40° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -30° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -20° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -10° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 0° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 15° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 32 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 50 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 60° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 70° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 80° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -40° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -30° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -20° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -10° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 0° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 15° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 32 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 50 ° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 60° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 70° F
Maximum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 80° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -40° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -30° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -20° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -10° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 0° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 15° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 32 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 50 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 60° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 70° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 80° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -40° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -30° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -20° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -10° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 0° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 15° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 32 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 50 ° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 60° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 70° F
Minimum # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 80° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -40° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -30° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -20° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < -10° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 0° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 15° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 32 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 50 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 60° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 70° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature < 80° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -40° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -30° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -20° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > -10° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 0° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 15° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 32 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 50 ° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 60° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 70° F
Mean # of Days w/Minimum Temperature > 80° F

If you have a request or any other questions/comments, please contact Tom Hultquist.

DISCLAIMER: The prognostics depicted on these pages may not be  available at all times. The accuracy or reliability of the data is not guaranteed nor warranted in any way. The data is provided as is and should not be used as the sole resource for decision making. Numerical forecast guidance is best interpreted by a professional meteorologist who is familiar with the particular modeling system, including any model biases.